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Getting Started in Currency Trading, by Michael Archer and Jim Bickford

December 30th, 2008

Page 73 – Fundamental Analysis

This chapter provides an overview of the key economic factors that affect the currency markets.  Fundamental analysis of the currency markets is based on the assumption that supply and demand for currencies is a result of fundamental economic processes that will strengthen and/or weaken a particular currency.  The focus of fundamental analysis lies in the economic, social, and political forces that drive supply and demand for a currency.

The most important economic indicators include Interest Rates, the Balance of Trade, Purchasing Power Parity, Gross Domestic Product Growth, and the Level of Government Intervention in currency markets.

Other important economic indicators include Industrial Production, the National Association of Purchasing Managers (NAPM) Index, the Producer Price Index (PPI), the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Durable Goods Orders, the Employment Cost Index, Retail Sales, and Housing Starts.

It is important to follow an economic indicator calendar so that you can stay current on new data in each of these areas as the data is released. When new data is released that surprises on the upside or downside, the currency markets will usually move up or down sharply.


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